ARCHIVED PREDICTION
Bukayo Saka
2+ shots · Published 11 Aug, 12:00- Published probability
- 81%
- Signal
- High
- Actual
- 3 shots
- Outcome
- Occurred
FREE HISTORICAL PROOF
History
Published probabilities remain frozen beside their signals and actual outcomes.
MODEL CALIBRATION
Probability bands, observed honestly.
Forecasts in the 70–79% band occurred 74% of the time across this sample record.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Prediction, signal and outcome
ARCHIVED PREDICTION
Erling Haaland
2+ SOT · Published 11 Aug, 12:00- Published probability
- 68%
- Signal
- Positive
- Actual
- 1 SOT
- Outcome
- Did not occur
ARCHIVED PREDICTION
Martin Ødegaard
Big chance created · Published 11 Aug, 12:00- Published probability
- 56%
- Signal
- Moderate
- Actual
- 1 created
- Outcome
- Occurred
ARCHIVED PREDICTION
Declan Rice
2+ tackles · Published 11 Aug, 12:00- Published probability
- 72%
- Signal
- High
- Actual
- 2 tackles
- Outcome
- Occurred
Individual outcomes are evidence within a calibrated record, not universal wins or losses.